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South Africa: An economy headed to crisis, or not? A view from Goldman Sachs

Additional Forum Information

Registration: 17h45 - 18h00

Forum Start Time: 18h00​​​​​​​​

Length: 1 hour 30 minutes

Cocktails will be served after the event

Goldman Sachs has over the past few months been presenting a differentiated analysis of South Africa's economy to private audiences including boards and executives of SA's leading companies, state institutions such as IDC, and other organisations such as SARB, Business Leadership SA and rating agencies. We are pleased that Goldman Sachs has agreed to present this analysis publically exclusively for a GIBS audience.

Please join Colin Coleman, managing director of Goldman Sachs for a discussion on the following four topics:

  • A summary of the current global economic headwinds, and South Africa's economic performance 1994 - 2014 compared to recent declining trends 2014-2015;

  • Three scenarios to Stress Test SA for performance against Financial Crisis conditions and how SA performs when tested against countries in financial crisis (including Brazil, Argentina, Mexico, Thailand, Indonesia, Russia, Greece, Egypt). Key lessons and conclusions on how resilient SA is and where our vulnerabilities lie; 

  • How SA can return to 3.2% (SA's 20 year –average) GDP growth rates. An assessment of SA's current "self - inflicted wounds" and what key policy areas and focus areas for the management of the macro environment SA needs to address to revive growth; and 

  • The politics of achieving the above economic reforms.

About the speaker:

​Colin Coleman is head of the Investment Banking Division for Sub-Saharan Africa, a role assumed in 2008, and

head of the South African office, a role he has held since he joined Goldman Sachs in 2000. In 2015, Colin was named member of the Investment Banking Services EMEA Captains Group. 

In 2013, Colin authored "Two Decades of Freedom," a report by Goldman Sachs on South Africa's progress since 1994. In the 1980s, Colin was involved in South Africa's anti-apartheid movement and later in its constitutional transition. From 1989 until South Africa's first democratic elections in 1994, he was an executive director for the Consultative Business Movement (CBM). Colin served in working groups of the multi-party talks, facilitated the International Mediation Forum and helped to negotiate the agreement to facilitate all parties' participation in South Africa's 1994 elections.

In 1994, Colin became a senior consultant for public affairs at Standard Bank Investment Corporation (SBIC), where he was an advisor to the SBIC chairman. He was subsequently appointed director of public finance for SBIC's Standard Corporate and Merchant Bank. In 1997, Colin relocated to London, where he became a vice president of energy, power and oil for J.P. Morgan's Investment Banking Advisory Department. In 1996, Colin was nominated as one of the World Economic Forum's Global Leaders for Tomorrow. He was also a recipient on behalf of the CBM of Harvard Business School's "Business Statesman Award" in 1994 and was named one of Euromoney's World Top Ten "Financing leaders for the 21st Century." 

​Colin earned a BA in Architecture from the University of Witwatersrand in 1988. He has four children and is based in Johannesburg​.

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