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Fate of the Nation

What does our future hold? Will the ANC split within the next five years? Could the DA rule the country in 2024? Will the EFF form an alliance with the ANC? What should we do to make our economy grow at levels that will impact on poverty and inequality? Will we become a more tolerant or a more violent society?

In Fate of the Nation scenario expert Jakkie Cilliers answers all these and many other questions. He has developed three detailed scenarios for our immediate future and beyond – Bafana Bafana, Nation Divided and Mandela Magic.

According to Cilliers the ANC is in many ways paralysed by the power struggle between what he calls the Traditionalists (supporters of Jacob Zuma) and the Reformers (led by Cyril Ramaphosa and others). This power struggle leads to policy confusion, poor leadership and general ineptitude in the civil service.

Key to which scenario will become our reality is who will be elected to the ANC’s top leadership at their national conference in December 2017. Whichever group wins will determine what our future holds. We could also see a compromise grouping being selected, Cilliers says, in which case the Bafana Bafana scenario – where we simply muddle along as a country – is the strongest possibility.

Speaker:

Jakkie Cilliers, Executive Director of the Institute for Security Studies

Respondants:

Professor Nick Binedell, GIBS

Gwen Ngwenya, COO, Institute of Race Relations 

Would like to attend but can't afford to? Email nkawus@gibs.co.za for one of the limited free seats.

Additional Info:

Cocktails after the event

Registration: 17:45

Starts: 18:00

Ends: 19:30  

Please note that Forums are open to the media and recorded and edited for City Press and GIBS.

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  • Prof Nick Binedell is the Founding Director and Sasol Chair of Strategic Management of the Gordon Institute of Business Science, established in January 2000, by the University of Pretoria. After an initial career in the industry in the Mining and Manufacturing sectors in sales and general management in the Barlow Rand Group, Prof Binedell has focused his career for the past 20 years in business education.

    In 1998 Prof Binedell was invited to establish a new business school focused on meeting the individual and corporate needs of business in South Africa. The school has rapidly established itself as a leading business school in South Africa with a strong focus on partnering with leading South African corporates and providing a high level of local and international business education. It was previously ranked as one of the top 40 global executive education providers by the London Financial Times.

    Prof Binedell is a determined traveller and explorer. His earlier roots included extensive travel and by the time he was ten he had lived in Zimbabwe, Germany, Yemen, Kenya, South Africa, and Britain. He has spent five years in the United States and in the past three years has travelled to Sydney, Shanghai, Dubai, Prague, Budapest, Lagos as well as European and American cities. 

    Prof Binedell’s area of expertise is in the field of business strategy formulation and his academic and consulting work, although dominantly in South Africa, includes work in the United States, Europe, and Australia. His earlier roots included extensive travel and by the time he was ten he had lived in Zimbabwe, Germany, Yemen, Kenya, South Africa, and Britain.

    He has spent five years in the United States and in the past three years has travelled to Sydney, Shanghai, Dubai, Prague, Budapest, Lagos as well as European and American cities. 

    Qualifications

    • PhD (UW)
    • MBA (UCT)
    • BCom (RU)
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